Any look at the electoral map shows a continued divide between red states and blue states with about a dozen swing states. There are large solidly Democratic states such as California, New York, and Massachusetts. Republicans will not have much of a chance to win the 2016 Presidential election unless they can win Texas, Florida, and Ohio. The country is also more likely to elect a center-left or center-right candidate than a far right or far left candidate. None of the candidates from the last Republican primary meet this criteria after each declared that they would not accept a ratio of 10 to 1 on budget cuts and raising taxes to help balance the budget. On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton is the odds on favorite if she decides to run.